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Long-bond stress is sending investors to gold

September 4, 2025

What happened
Long-dated government bond yields spiked again as investors focused on heavy deficits and persistent issuance. The U.S. 30-year touched the 5 percent area while similar moves showed up across Europe and Japan. High long-term borrowing costs have become a global theme.

Why this supports gold
When the market questions fiscal sustainability and long bonds wobble investors look for stores of value that are not tied to a single issuer. The result is steady safe-haven demand and fresh record prints for gold.

What to watch
Debt auctions and budget headlines matter. If issuance stays heavy and buyers demand more yield the safe-haven bid for bullion should continue.

Client takeaway
Fiscal nerves and long-bond volatility are not one-day stories. Allocate with the expectation that these pressures can persist.

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